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Good Morning,
We've got some serious crosscurrents hitting the market today, and I'll be breaking it all down on Market Masters at 8:45 am sharp.
The dollar is creeping higher as everyone holds their breath for the delayed CPI print.
If inflation comes in hot, it could blow up the entire Fed rate-cut story we've been trading on. That means potential chaos across bonds, equities, and FX.
Treasury bonds are already looking shaky after their October rally.
Higher yields from a surprise CPI number would hit growth stocks hard—especially the high-multiple names that have been carrying this market.
Then there's the China trade situation heating up again.
Export control chatter and Trump-Xi meeting talk have the semiconductor and tech crowd nervous.
SMH and QQQ could get ugly fast if we get adverse headlines.
Here's what's really interesting, though - despite all the gains we've seen, big institutional money is still sitting on the sidelines.
That raises serious questions about whether this rally has legs or if we're trading on fumes.
I'll be walking through the key levels to watch and the semiconductor names. Plus, we'll map out scenarios for how different CPI outcomes could ripple through the entire market structure.
Then at 9 am, you get free access to The Runner - my morning cheat sheet with the stocks I'm seeing ready to break out and break down.
The real actionable stuff.
The setup is getting interesting. Don't miss it.
Garrett