Hey, it’s Garrett.
There are only a handful of days each year where the market holds its breath.
Tomorrow is one of them.
Not just because it’s a Fed Day, but because this is the quarterly meeting. The one where we get an updated dot plot and find out what the Fed governors really expect for the rest of the year.
Here’s how it looked in March:
Each dot represents a Fed official’s projection for where interest rates should land by year-end 2025, 2026, 2027, and the long run. Back then, the median projection for 2025 was clustered just above 4 percent, implying three rate cuts this year.
But a lot has changed since then. Hotter inflation. Stickier data. A Fed that hasn’t blinked.
If the new dot plot drops to just one cut—or even none—this market will need to reprice quickly and aggressively.
You’re already seeing the cracks form.
Consumer-discretionary names are starting to roll.
These stocks rely on easy credit and confident consumers. But with mortgage rates still above 7%, credit card APRs pushing 21%, and student loan payments back in the mix, that confidence is fading. The longer rates stay high, the more pressure builds on retailers, automakers, and travel names.
And Tesla just broke below its 20-day moving average.
It’s the largest component of the discretionary sector—and often the first domino to fall when growth assumptions get revised lower. When a name that size starts slipping, it’s rarely an isolated move.
Meanwhile, interest rates are still stuck at the top of the range.
Powell’s not budging. And if tomorrow’s signal is “higher for longer” the pressure on consumers only builds.
This isn’t just about what he says. It’s about when the market decides to react. And that usually doesn’t happen until around 2:37 PM, once the bots settle down and real price discovery kicks in.
Add in geopolitical stress, thinning liquidity, and a mid-week market holiday, and you’ve got a setup where one breath from Powell could knock the whole house of cards over.
That’s why we’re treating tomorrow like game day.
Here’s the plan
8:45 AM ET – Market Masters
Brandon Chapman joins us to preview the day.
He’s 18-for-18 on recent trades, including a 200 percent+ win last week. He’ll walk us through what he’s seeing and how he’s positioning for one of the most volatile trading days of the year.
1:00 PM ET – Live Squeeze Bar Session (Don Kaufman & Brandon)
See how they spot the pressure before the pop. Their squeeze-bar setup has nailed big moves in PLUG, SLV, IYR, and more—perfect timing for Fed-day volatility.
2:00 PM – Fed Statement + Dot Plot
TBD – We go LIVE (directly after Don & Brandon)
2:30 PM – Powell Speaks
2:37 PM – Look for Directional Trades
This is when we pounce: real-time reactions, VWAP reversions, sector snapbacks. Whatever Powell says, whatever the dot plot implies, we’ll be ready.
If you trade only one day this month, make it tomorrow.
From Brandon’s pre-market read at 8:45 to Powell’s words at 2:30, TheoTrade will guide you through the entire session live.
Momentum. Direction. Reaction.
This is how we pay for the whole quarter.
Stay positive,
Garrett Baldwin
PROFIT FROM SQUEEZE BAR ERUPTIONS
+222% on PLUG... +100% on SLV... +72% on IYR
(Plus 15 other explosive recent winners using this exact method)
PRO TRADERS REVEAL: How to spot the pressure building BEFORE prices explode.
LIVE TRAINING: Wednesday June 18th with Don Kaufman & Brandon Chapman, CMT